Robust Simulation for Mega-Risks: The Path from Single-Solution to Competitive, Multi-Solution Methods for Mega-Risk Management - Craig E. Taylor
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimitus 17-23 arkipäivässä
30 päivän palautusoikeus
This book introduces a new way of analyzing, measuring and thinking about mega-risks, a ¿paradigm shift¿ that moves from single-solutions to multiple competitive solutions and strategies. ¿Robust simulation¿ is a statistical approach that demonstrates future risk through simulation of a suite of possible answers. To arrive at this point, the book systematically walks through the historical statistical metho ... Täydellinen kuvaus
Saatat myös pitää
TOP
The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
Heart Rate Variability: Science and Strategies for Peak Performance
Marco Altini, Sylvain Laborde, Dan Plews, Emma Mosley
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Loppu
TOP
Many Faces, One Purpose: A Managers Handbook on Women in Firefighting
U. S. Fire Administration, Homeland Security
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Loppu
TOP
The Gulf Moment: Arab Relations Since 2011
Florence Gaub, U. S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Loppu
TOP
Introduction to Algorithms
Ronald L. Rivest, Charles E. Leiserson, Clifford Stein, Thomas H. Cormen
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
Thinking in Systems: International Bestseller
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
101 Things I Learned in Architecture School
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
Dinosaurs and Prehistoric Life: The Definitive Visual Guide to Prehistoric Animals
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
International Economics: Theory and Policy, Global Edition
Paul Krugman, Maurice Obstfeld, Marc Melitz
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth and Happiness
Cass R Sunstein, Richard H. Thaler
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Varastossa
TOP
Crossing Borders: About the birth of the Consortium of European Research Libraries, the organisation's early years and its path to maturity, spanning the period from the late twentieth century to the first decades of the twenty-first century
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
The Code Book: The Science of Secrecy from Ancient Egypt to Quantum Cryptography
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
Cybernetics: Second Edition: Or the Control and Communication in the Animal and the Machine
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
The Unaccountability Machine: Why Big Systems Make Terrible Decisions
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
Only Dull People Are Brilliant at Breakfast
-24% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
TOP
The Dictionary of Obscure Sorrows
-25% koodilla BOOKS
Toimittajalla varastossa
Kuvaus
This book introduces a new way of analyzing, measuring and thinking about mega-risks, a ¿paradigm shift¿ that moves from single-solutions to multiple competitive solutions and strategies. ¿Robust simulation¿ is a statistical approach that demonstrates future risk through simulation of a suite of possible answers. To arrive at this point, the book systematically walks through the historical statistical methods for evaluating risks. The first chapters deal with three theories of probability and statistics that have been dominant in the 20th century, along with key mathematical issues and dilemmas. The book then introduces ¿robust simulation¿ which solves the problem of measuring the stability of simulated losses, incorporates outliers, and simulates future risk through a suite of possible answers and stochastic modeling of unknown variables. This book discusses various analytical methods for utilizing divergent solutions in making pragmatic financial and risk-mitigation decisions. The book emphasizes the importance of flexibility and attempts to demonstrate that alternative credible approaches are helpful and required in understanding a great many phenomena.
Lisätietoja
| Kirjoittaja | Craig E. Taylor |
|---|---|
| Julkaisija | Springer Nature Switzerland |
| Julkaisuvuosi | 2015 |
| Kannen tyyppi | Kovakantinen |
| EAN | 9783319194127 |